Young Democrats of Bexar County, Texas 286 Days to Election Day!

Search


Subscribe to Blog   RSS


Recent posts


Recent comments


Tags


    Categories


      Tuesday, April 22, 2008 4:07 PM

      Over/Under in Pennsylvania?

      The pundits can't seem to agree.  At what margin can Clinton call a win a win?  While you might find one or two analysts who peg Obama as the likely winner, but most see a loss in the cards for him.  Given her advantages - 16 years of near universal name recognition and his newcomer status, her erstwhile inevitablity, and a former president on the circuit for her - how big of a win would it take to deliver a real body blow to Obama's camp?

      Well, what the hey.  Here's my guess:

      54.5% Clinton / 45.5% Obama.  This or a smaller margin can be called an Obama "win".  Anything wider is a Clinton "win". 

      Now, to me Keystone is a beer, Quaker State is a motor oil, and all I can readily recall about Pennsylvania is what I caught rewatching National Treasure a couple of weeks ago, so don't take my word for gospel.  This is just one Texan's opinion.  What do you think?

       

      Currently rated 5.0 by 2 people

      • Currently 5/5 Stars.
      • 1
      • 2
      • 3
      • 4
      • 5

      Posted by Cliff Walker
      Email   Digg   Newsvine   Reddit   del.icio.us  
      Permalink | Comments (1) | Post RSSRSS comment feed

      Comments

      Brandon Turner

      Tuesday, April 22, 2008 10:41 PM

      I'd have to say that I agree with your >9 point Clinton "win" margin, but even with a win of that size I don't think that it will count as a true blow to Obama's campaign. I think her victory margin would have to be upwards of 15 to 20 percent to make her undeniably viable again; and that just aint gonna happen. Looking at the numbers right now she's just about 10 points ahead, which counts as a win, but only extends her campaign's life support a little while longer. She's no Lazarus yet.

      At this point, I'm just praying that this is over before civil war breaks out within the party.

      Add comment


       





      Live preview

      Friday, November 21, 2008 2:55 AM

        Copyright © 2008. All Rights Reserved.   Terms of Use  |  Privacy Policy

      Political Advertisement Paid for and Approved by Bexar County Young Democrats. Server 2.
      Powered By: www.DemsLink.com